The competition between global powers—namely the United States, Russia, and China—over nuclear energy influence in Africa has intensified, with Sub-Saharan Africa becoming a focal point. Russia’s state-owned nuclear energy corporation, Rosatom, has been proactive in offering nuclear technology and training across Africa, making substantial headway in nations like Egypt and Nigeria. The U.S., meanwhile, has focused on promoting nuclear safety and non-proliferation standards, alongside advancing civil nuclear cooperation through the U.S.-Africa Nuclear Summit and other diplomatic channels. China, on the other hand, has strategically positioned itself as a key player through its Belt and Road Initiative, offering African nations the financial resources to develop nuclear energy infrastructure, while also focusing on small modular reactors (SMRs) that appeal to nations with emerging nuclear aspirations.

Kenya’s ambition to establish a nuclear power plant by 2034 has placed the country in the middle of this geopolitical rivalry. The country has engaged with both Russia and the U.S., signing landmark agreements with the U.S. and expressing openness to Russian proposals. Russia has shown interest in collaborating with Kenya to develop nuclear capabilities, leveraging its global nuclear diplomacy to strengthen ties in Africa. Meanwhile, the U.S. has also intensified its efforts to offer technical support and foster bilateral nuclear agreements, recently hosting key meetings and signing cooperative pacts with Kenya. These developments underscore Kenya’s position as a strategic partner in the nuclear energy race, with its ambitious plans to diversify its energy mix and mitigate reliance on hydro and geothermal power sources.

As the competition escalates, Sub-Saharan African nations are being offered a unique opportunity to harness nuclear technology to meet growing energy demands, modernize their infrastructure, and achieve long-term energy security. However, the geopolitical undertones of this competition could have long-term implications for national sovereignty and environmental safety. While nuclear energy holds promise for addressing power shortages, it also raises concerns regarding potential nuclear waste disposal challenges and the high costs associated with maintaining nuclear infrastructure. The outcome of this competition will depend on the terms and benefits these global powers are willing to offer to African nations, and how these nations navigate the complex geopolitical landscape of nuclear diplomacy.

References:

AZ News Russia and the US to help Kenya develop nuclear energy

The Star US, Russia compete for Africa’s nuclear power deals

PISM U.S. Rivalry with Russia and China over Nuclear Technology in Africa Heating Up

The Guardian Kenya’s first nuclear plant: why plans face fierce opposition in country’s coastal paradise

Energy Capital & Power Kenya Plans to Build Nuclear Plant by 2034

IAI Russian Nuclear Diplomacy in the Global South, and How to Respond to It