The specter of a significant food crisis is looming over Kenya as a severe maize shortage grips the nation, sending prices soaring and sparking urgent warnings from key industry players. The Poultry Breeders Association of Kenya and the Association of Kenya Feed Manufacturers have jointly raised the alarm, highlighting a dramatic 45% surge in maize prices since the start of the year, with costs projected to climb even further by April. This sharp increase is directly translating to a painful escalation in the cost of living for millions of Kenyans, as maize flour, the staple ingredient for the widely consumed ‘ugali,’ becomes increasingly expensive. For households already struggling with tight budgets, this spike in the price of a fundamental food item poses a significant threat to their food security and overall well-being. The crisis underscores the delicate balance within the nation’s food system and the profound impact that fluctuations in the availability and cost of a single commodity like maize can have on the lives of ordinary citizens.

The ramifications of this maize shortage extend far beyond the immediate concerns of household consumption, creating a domino effect throughout the interconnected agricultural sector. The livestock industry, particularly poultry farming, is facing a critical challenge as maize constitutes a primary component of animal feed. The exorbitant rise in maize prices has led to a corresponding surge in the cost of producing animal feed, a burden that is inevitably passed on to farmers. Consequently, consumers are now facing higher prices for essential animal products such as chicken, eggs, meat, and dairy, further compounding the financial strain on families. This intricate link between maize production and the livestock sector demonstrates the vulnerability of the entire food supply chain to disruptions affecting a single key input. The crisis highlights how a shortage in one area of agriculture can trigger price hikes and economic hardship across multiple sectors, ultimately impacting the affordability and accessibility of a wide range of food products for the Kenyan population.

In response to this escalating crisis, industry associations are urgently appealing to the government for immediate intervention, primarily advocating for the waiver of import duties on maize to facilitate increased imports and stabilize the runaway prices. While the government has historically employed measures such as fertilizer subsidies to support local production, the current situation demands swift action to address the immediate supply deficit. The long-term solution, however, lies in building a more resilient and diversified food system. This includes promoting the production and consumption of alternative, nutritious crops to reduce the nation’s heavy reliance on maize, investing in improved storage facilities to minimize post-harvest losses, and adopting sustainable agricultural practices to enhance productivity and withstand future climate shocks. The current maize crisis serves as a stark reminder of the need for a comprehensive and coordinated approach to ensure food security for all Kenyans, safeguarding livelihoods and stabilizing the economy against the volatile nature of agricultural markets and environmental factors.

References:

The Star Industry players warn of imminent food crisis on maize shortage, rising prices

Milling Middle East & Africa Kenya’s maize harvest to surge 15% in 2025/2026:  USDA

Capital Business Maize shortage sparks food crisis as prices soar

KIPPRA Four Ways to Address the Rising Food Prices in Kenya

Busara Groundwork Cultivating resilience: Promoting investment in alternative agricultural products for enhanced food security in Kenya PDF