The abrupt cessation of funding from the United States Agency for International Development (USAID) has sent shockwaves through Kenya, marking a significant turning point in the country’s development trajectory. The decision by the US government to terminate approximately 83% of USAID’s global contracts has had an immediate and profound impact, with Kenya ranking as the seventh most affected nation worldwide, underscoring its heavy reliance on donor funding for crucial sectors. The sheer scale of the withdrawal, encompassing the cancellation of numerous projects across health, education, economic development, and governance, has left a void that will be challenging to fill. Organizations on the ground, such as CFK Africa, have reported widespread panic and uncertainty as essential healthcare services, particularly in the fight against HIV/AIDS and tuberculosis, face severe disruptions . The sudden halt has not only jeopardized the continuation of vital programs but has also resulted in significant job losses, with estimates suggesting that at least 35,000 Kenyans working in USAID-funded initiatives are now facing unemployment . This abrupt departure of a major development partner has ignited discussions about the long-term sustainability of Kenya’s development and the urgent need for alternative strategies.  

The health sector in Kenya is bearing the brunt of the USAID funding freeze, with potentially devastating consequences for the progress made over the past two decades, particularly in combating the HIV/AIDS epidemic. While the US has allocated $66 million to HIV/AIDS programs in Kenya for 2025, this represents a significant decrease from the $846 million provided in 2023, signaling a concerning downward trend. The World Health Organization (WHO) had earlier warned that Kenya was among several countries at risk of running out of essential HIV drugs due to the aid pause, potentially undoing years of hard-won gains and leading to a resurgence of the disease. The termination has severely impacted the US President’s Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR), which relies heavily on USAID’s logistical support, leading to an immediate halt in HIV treatment, testing, and prevention services across more than 50 countries. Reports from organizations like Médecins Sans Frontières (MSF) paint a grim picture of service shutdowns and treatment disruptions, leaving millions of vulnerable individuals without access to life-saving medications and care . The situation is further compounded by existing shortages of some HIV drugs within the country, creating a perfect storm that threatens to overwhelm the healthcare system .  

Beyond the immediate crisis in the health sector, the USAID funding cuts are expected to have far-reaching long-term repercussions across Kenya’s social and economic landscape . Programs supporting maternal and child health, tuberculosis and malaria control, water and sanitation, education, and economic development are all facing significant funding shortfalls . The termination of initiatives aimed at improving primary literacy, supporting smallholder farmers, and promoting trade and investment will hinder progress in these crucial areas . The Kenyan government now faces immense pressure to find alternative funding sources and implement sustainable development strategies to mitigate the impact of this significant withdrawal of aid . This necessitates a concerted effort to strengthen domestic resource mobilization, diversify international partnerships, engage the private sector, and foster local innovation to ensure the continued well-being and progress of the nation .

References:

The Star Kenya 7th most affected by US aid freeze

Aljazeera USAID’s demise raises fears for millions of lives across the Global South

Capital Business USAID funding halt to hit Kenya’s economy, social sectors – report

Nation USAID funding cuts disrupt vulnerable rural livelihoods in Turkana

Think Global Health Life After USAID: Africa’s Development, Education, and Health Care

Reliefweb CFK Africa Witnesses Devastating Effects in Kenya from End of U.S. Agency for International Development Support

Willow Health Media USAID Shut for Good: Millions at risk in Kenya, thousands jobless overnight